Curated pages dedicated to humanitarian themes and specific humanitarian crises. This is because the Long Rains season constitutes an important rainfall season in Kenya and more so in the Western, Rift Valley and Central regions. In early 2020, the availability of the short rains harvest and labor income earned in the 2020 long rains season are expected to lead to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes in some areas. Apart from the harvest of cassava and amaranth in Kilifi and mangoes in Tharaka Nithi, crops are in the germination to vegetative crop stages across most marginal areas. The daily rainfall data used in the study was obtained from the Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD. According to the forecast, the short rains are likely to begin between the third and fourth week of October in the counties located in Central Kenya as well as in Nairobi. Report inappropriate content . Cropping activities during this sensitive time are likely being impacted in eastern Kenya and parts of southern Somalia. According to the Government’s National Drought Management Authority, as of April, out of the 23 counties located in the Arid and Semiarid Lands, covering about 80 percent of the country’s la… Access your account or create a new one for additional features or to post job or training opportunities. Save. 57 helpful votes. Kenya sees another period of rains between April and June known as ‘long rains’ when the ITCZ moves northwards again. Long and Short Rains Assessment Reports In Meru North, a late start to the rains forced farmers to replant. Reply . According to satellite-derived rainfall data, the start of the October to December short rains has been mixed. Thursday and Friday are expected to receive rainfall over several places. Drought and floods are the major climatic hazards in Kenya, with a estimated 23 million people af… However, bean prices in other monitored markets ranged between 9-27 percent above average due to tightened supplies from below-average production. 628 posts. Bean prices were average in Taita Taveta, Mombasa, and Meru, and 19 percent below average in Kisumu due to available supplies from the long rains harvests and neighboring markets. Precipitation in Kenya decreased to 69.94 mm in December from 153.21 mm in November of 2015. The Coastal Strip counties of Mombasa, Tana River, Kilifi, Lamu and Kwale are expected to experience mainly sunny intervals the entire day for much of the forecast period. Acute food insecurity among poor urban households remains high, as COVID-19 restrictions such as the extended curfew and reduced business operating hours continue to impede labor opportunities and access to income. In other markets, prices ranged from average to 25 percent below average driven by good local supply from the above-average 2020 March to May long rains production, unimodal production in the high and medium potential areas of the North Rift and Western Kenya, and cross border imports. Despite the depressed rains, isolated incidences of storms are likely, even in the areas expected to receive depressed rains which may cause flash floods. However, in parts of the northwest, northeast, southeast, and coastal areas, rainfall has ranged from 55-70 percent of normal, with the most affected areas receiving less than 55 percent of normal rainfall. cheffip. He said models that can predict disease outbreaks that are attributed to weather and climate can help in providing early warning information. Get the monthly weather forecast for Nairobi, Nairobi City, Kenya, including daily high/low, historical averages, to help you plan ahead. 307 posts. Most of the stations indicated the onset month to be March. 1.1.6 The Coastal Strip(Mombasa, Tana River, Kilifi, Lamu and Kwale): Occasional rainfall is likely in December 2020. Whether it rains or not will vary, but rarely daily and if any it's usually a brief thunderstorm or overnight showers. Households continue to benefit from favorable goat-to-maize terms-of-trade (TOT), with average TOT in Turkana, Garissa, Wajir, and 20-40 percent above average TOT across other pastoral areas. Northern and northeastern pastoral areas as well as central and southern agro-pastoral areas have been severely affected by the cumulative impact of below average 2018 October-December “short-rains”, followed by a harsh January-March 2019 dry season and by an extremely poor performance of the March-May “long-rains”. The Northeastern counties of Marsabit, Mandera, Wajir, Garissa and Isiolo are expected to experience sunny intervals the whole day throughout the forecast period. Vancouver Island... Level Contributor . Sunday and Monday morning may however receive showers over few places especially in the South Coast. In October, maize prices were 19-25 percent above average in Garissa, Mandera, and Kwale, driven by low market supplies from COVID-19 restrictions that continue to slow down the supply chain. Onset identification is based on a daily analysis of the soil water balance over the initial growth stage (30 days) by identifying and quantifying the risk of failure of crop development. Since October, rainfall in western, central, and eastern Kenya has ranged from 105 to over 145 percent of normal. Thursday and Friday morning may however receive rains over few places, The Southeastern counties of Kitui, Makueni, Machakos and Taita Taveta are expected to experience mainly sunny intervals the whole day throughout the forecast period. SCHOLARSHIPS; RESEARCH GRANT; IMTR AWARD; imtr(2018) application form; Press Release; Publications; Reports; Journals; Institute; Tenders; Contact us : Latest News. Rainfall varies from over 2000mm/year in some areas to less than 300mm/year in the arid northern areas. Both graphical and statistical methods were applied in the analyses. Open job opportunities in the humanitarian field. According to satellite-derived rainfall data, the start of the October to December short rains has been mixed. Functions; Data request; Useful Links; NEWS. Kenya Meteorological Department has said that the expected late onset and poor distribution of the long rains are likely to impact negatively on the agricultural sector leading to food insecurity. Already in 2020, pastoralist families in Kenya’s north faced flooding while further south farmers have struggled first with drying their recent harvest in the rain and also with huge swarms of locusts posing a continuing threat to both crops and pasture. Re: The short rains have arrived (probably) 5 Oct 2019, 16:32. The expected amount of rainfall is likely to be near to below the long-term average amounts for 5 In marginal agricultural areas, land preparation and planting of maize, beans, green grams, millet, cowpeas, pigeon peas, and potatoes is ongoing, providing labor income. This study examined the spatial and temporal variability of the onset and cessation of long rains (MAM). For the short rains detection of early onset is better near the coast, and late onset detection is better over northwestern Kenya. Onset, cessation and length of growing season statistics are generated for both long and short rainy seasons in western Kenya. Despite near average staple food prices, the loss of income continues to limit urban poor household purchasing capacity and food access, driving a continuation of Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes in Nairobi, Kisumu, and Mombasa, with the worst affected households in Mukuru and Dandora informal settlements of Nairobi engaging in coping strategies indicative of Emergency (IPC Phase 4). We advocate for effective and principled humanitarian action by all, for all. The Short Rains in October-November-December (OND) 2020 season constitutes an important rainfall season in Kenya more so in the Central and South-eastern regions of the country. According to satellite-derived rainfall data, the start of the October to December short rains has been mixed. 94 reviews. First, “season of long rains” lasts from April to June and the other one, “season of short showers”, is between October and December. List of alerts, ongoing and past disasters covered by ReliefWeb. Short rains can start from end-Oct thru mid-Dec. Whether it rains or not will vary, but rarely daily and if any it's usually a brief thunderstorm or overnight showers. Learn more about ReliefWeb, leading online source for reliable and timely humanitarian information on global crises and disasters since 1996. In the meantime, the biting drought continues to affect livestock in Garissa County with loses running into millions of shillings due to livestock death as a result of lack of water and pasture. DCI launches hunt for Dickson Kimani Kamau, KNUN accuses some County Gov'ts of intimidation towards nurses on contract, Uhuru, leaders eulogise ex-minister Joe Nyagah as a consummate politician, CS Balala launches Amboseli 10 year management plan, Uhuru says an expanded executive will guarantee political inclusivity, Uhuru orders chiefs to ensure all learners report back to school, Kenya’s well-being: Mudavadi indicts members of the political class, FKF Women Premier League season gets back under way tomorrow, Political campaigns end midnight ahead of Tuesday mini polls, Supreme Court rejects Trump-backed election lawsuit, US Pfizer Covid vaccine approved for emergency use, Uhuru to lead Kenyans in marking Jamhuri day. The October‑December "short‑rains" had a timely onset in northwestern areas, while northern and eastern areas have remained dry so far. 49 helpful votes. Rainfall distribution and amount is of paramount importance to rain-fed agriculture prevalent in Kenya’s ASALs. Figure 1(c) shows that 2019 was one of the wettest short rains seasons since 1985, surpassed only by 1997, when large scale flooding was experienced across the region. Rainfall started in early October 2019 (Figure 1b) and continued past the normal end of the short rains into January 2020, with flooding in Homa Bay, Kenya, at the end of January. Local leaders from Goreale Ward in Lagdera constituency are now calling on both the national and county governments to provide alternatives to alleviate the situation. This page includes a chart with historical data for Kenya Average Precipitation. Kenya. NDMA is an agency of the Government of Kenya mandated to ensure that drought does not result in emergencies and that the impacts of climate change are sufficiently mitigated. This includes closing bars, restaurants, and other establishments by 9:00 pm; lengthening the curfew to 10:00 pm-4:00 am; suspending all political gatherings and rallies for 60 days; suspending all in-person basic education classes until January 2021; and the consideration of localized lockdowns in high-prevalence counties. “Kenyans should not be overly worried as the forecast is still within the stated time,” he said and added, “most of the country was predicted to begin experiencing the onset of the short rains season in the second to the third week of October and we are within the time margins.”, He however noted that livestock keepers in parts of Kajiado may have to wait until towards the end of the month “since the rain bearing clouds are moving rather slowly downwards.”. Overall, more than 160,000 people, including nearly 18,000 who are displaced countrywide, have been affected by floods or landslides since the onset of the short rains … 2. The rains are expected to drive the short-term recovery of forage and water resources, improve livestock productivity and household food and income, and support area-level Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes. However, across northern and western pastoral areas, average to above-average rainfall has maintained average to above-average vegetative greenness. Kenya and the Horn of Africa region have been experiencing a long drought stretching through six seasons in three years. However precipitation is possible even at the driest time. 2. Declining household food stocks continue to drive increased market dependence among households and a gradual increase in prices; however, available labor income continues to stabilize household food security, maintaining area-level Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes. During exceptionally dry years the method to detect onset and cessation fails. The monthly forecast, divides Kenya right in the middle. Cumulative rainfall is expected to be below-average in northeastern and parts of eastern Kenya and near average in northwestern and central Kenya. He noted that the Western Kenya region is already receiving the rainfall as per the prediction and will continue well into January. Edited: 02 October 2019, 14:25. Won't inhibit safari and if on the coast they're brief enough not to spoil your fun. Prior to the onset of the short rains season, many households in the Horn were still recovering from the loss of typical food and income sources and loss of productive assets that occurred during the severe 2016/2017 drought and the 2018/2019 drought. Met director Stella Aura said the short rains would continue for the rest of the month. The “Short Rains” October-November-December (OND) 2020 season constitutes an important rainfall season in Kenya more so in the Central and South-eastern regions of the country. 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